Moonee Valley racing preview
Race 1 – Summer Membership Handicap (1600m)
Invincibella is a hot favourite in race one and is coming into a weaker class. Last start she jumped out slowly but gained plenty of ground as she finished third to Jennifer Lynn at Flemington. She rates on top and will clearly be very hard to beat.
Moonlites Choice is the other filly who drops down in class for this one and is already a winner in this grade, while Heavenly Descent will look to run on pace and hold off the rest of the runners as she aims for three wins from three races with the blinkers on.
Race 2 – Whiteman Property Plate (1000m)
With the majority of this field making their racing debut, this race is one of the more difficult ones on the card. Kedleston ran a very useful race in much stronger company last start when he finished fourth to Arctic Angel at Sandown. Running at the same distance he is showing genuine claims.
Cao Cao will start as the favourite after his second-place effort on debut. He was unlucky last start and should be fitter for this race.
Race 3 – MSC Signs Handicap (1000m)
Estaminet was very impressive last start in a race which included her giving a lot of weight to the rest of the field. The five-year-old Mare jumped awkwardly last start but still managed to hold on by 0.2 lengths.
Lyuba’s upside is one to not be taken lightly and she is a huge chance to upset Estaminet. She has an excellent win record and this track will suit her. Robert Smerdon-trained Very Choosy is proven at this distance and with Craig Williams on board she should run a very competitive race in weaker class.
Race 4 – Art Series Hotel Group Handicap (1200m)
Mick Price-trained Hellbound looks a good bet for this one at his current price tag. He drops down a grade here and resumes after his third-place performance to the classy Speedeor, so good form reference to go by.
Wise hero will start as the favourite with the scratching of Biased Witness. It looks as though he will be taking up the running with a few horses likely to sit back so if he puts a gap on them just like he did at Moe then nothing will catch him.
Race 5 – Simpson Construction Handicap (1600m)
Black Sheep is coming into this race with very high expectations with his sound recent form. He has won at this track and distance before so expect to see the horse in the form of his life run a huge race.
Flying Light drops down a class and will be much fitter for his recent racing. His form also speaks volumes and should be right in the finish, but whether he can match the class of Black Sheep is the question.
Craig Newitt is on board Un De Sceaux and he’ll want to find a good position from barrier one to give the second favourite every chance of winning, while the best roughy of the race is Aurum Spirit, coming into a weaker class and has more experience than any other horse.
Race 6 – Ranvet Handicap (1600m)
Payroll ran a huge race to win first up at Cranbourne by seven Lengths. That race cannot be ignored and he will be much fitter for this run, relishing the step up to 1600m.
Miles Of Krishan and Dulverton are both coming into the race out of the same form reference and should both be fancied in a weaker class. Both of these horses were 5th and 9th last start respectively but the way they hit the line has to be admired.
The other horse who is capable of a very big run is Vital Importance, and with the blinkers on she shouldn’t be sitting at that price.
Race 7 – 1PRINT Handicap (2040m)
Once stable mates, High Church and Little White Cloud are sharing favouritism for this race and both warrant respect from their last start performance.
Little White Cloud won his first race in over three years on Stakes Day after jumping awkwardly and running wide without cover for the entirety of the race. Boom Time was a winner on the same day and looks well placed with Craig Williams in the saddle.
The one horse who did make ground on Little White Cloud was Hipparchus, and with blinkers on he has every chance of improving from his previous strong runs. Two for value is Patch Adams and Prima – who is very capable of a huge race at great value.
Race 8 – Montmorency FC Handicap (1000m)
The race where nearly every runner is at least a place chance, this one looks very tough to pick. With Surbible drawn out wide it will be quite intense in the early stages for those many horses who like to lead.
Stellar Collision is unbeaten at this track and distance and has the form over the other horses, albeit he is having his first run in 206 days.
Beau Rada is quoting very juicy odds for the quality of the horse and should be right in the market, including Bullpit and Dan Zephyr who are also over the odds as legitimate chances.
Vezalay and Rock ‘N’ Gold are the two other horses the punters like early, with the latter of the two already a winner in a stronger grade.
Race 9 – William Hill Handicap (1200m)
Eight scratchings have been made for this race making the winner a little easier to pick. Cana has strong claims despite the tougher contest here compared to her last start win at Rosehill. She will be tough to beat in this one.
Brockhoff the favourite should find this race easier than last start and is going well enough at this distance. With the right run at barrier three he is every winning chance.
King’s Command is lightly raced and has a great winning record. Coming off a 215 day spell he could be great value, along with Star Fortune who has never failed to place at this distance should be suited by the conditions (also one win from one at Moonee Valley).
Best bets for the day:
- Race 5 – Aurum Spirit ($11.00)
- Race 6 – Dulverton ($10.00)